Race 15A

cofc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Bella Shakespeare 23.4% 19.3% 15.8% 17.4% 9.7% 8.5% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Shay Bridge 5.0% 6.7% 8.2% 10.6% 12.1% 14.6% 17.8% 15.4% 9.6%
Marina Conde 19.2% 16.5% 19.3% 12.9% 11.8% 10.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Grace Watlington 7.4% 9.1% 11.2% 11.9% 14.3% 13.6% 15.2% 11.7% 5.6%
Arantxa Argibay 3.8% 6.6% 6.1% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 13.9% 21.0% 20.4%
Emily Allen 19.4% 18.9% 18.5% 14.5% 11.4% 8.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6%
Tia Schoening 3.3% 3.1% 2.1% 4.1% 5.2% 8.1% 12.0% 20.1% 42.0%
Lyla Solway 5.6% 5.0% 5.5% 7.6% 10.9% 11.6% 16.1% 18.9% 18.8%
Emma Shakespeare 12.9% 14.8% 13.3% 12.7% 15.5% 13.6% 9.2% 5.8% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.