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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+2.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+1.34vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14+2.34vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.32+1.22vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.75vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.28-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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3.5Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.34University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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5.36Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.22Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.25Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.21North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 19.1% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 19.1% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emily Allen | 20.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 21.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 39.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.6% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.