Race 17A

cofc-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emily Allen 20.2% 18.3% 15.0% 15.2% 13.9% 8.6% 4.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Bella Shakespeare 19.5% 21.1% 17.3% 14.9% 11.4% 8.1% 5.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Shay Bridge 6.7% 6.7% 9.7% 9.9% 11.5% 16.4% 14.5% 15.0% 9.6%
Marina Conde 19.4% 19.5% 15.4% 17.5% 11.2% 7.3% 6.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Grace Watlington 8.5% 9.9% 12.8% 10.8% 11.7% 12.5% 14.8% 12.5% 6.5%
Lyla Solway 4.9% 5.1% 7.3% 6.8% 10.0% 12.1% 18.0% 19.1% 16.7%
Arantxa Argibay 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 8.9% 12.2% 15.2% 21.4% 21.8%
Tia Schoening 3.0% 2.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.2% 9.2% 11.5% 19.2% 41.0%
Emma Shakespeare 13.3% 13.1% 13.7% 13.1% 16.2% 13.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.