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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+2.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+3.51vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65-0.53vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.28+1.01vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.88vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.32+0.24vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.01North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.12Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.24Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.48Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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4.26University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 19.9% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 19.1% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 23.2% |
| Emily Allen | 20.3% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 40.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.