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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+1.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+5.81vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56-0.95vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.08-0.57vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.14+0.63vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-0.05-0.33vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.95vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.62+1.63vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.30-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93-0.78vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-2.39-0.76vs Predicted
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16College of Coastal Georgia-3.72+0.02vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-2.63-2.38vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.60-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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9.81University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.05University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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5.43Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.33Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.67Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.95Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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12.63Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.52Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.24Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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16.02College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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14.62Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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6.72Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 21.4% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Efe Guder | 17.1% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 25.3% | 12.7% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 62.5% |
| Jim Wang | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 29.1% | 15.4% |
| Darby Smith | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.