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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+1.45vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.52+5.77vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.60+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.73vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08-1.64vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-0.86vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.30-1.34vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.62+1.55vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.95vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University-0.05-4.47vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.14-5.14vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.72+1.06vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.39-1.87vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.93-3.64vs Predicted
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18Davidson College-2.63-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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9.77University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.27University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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5.36Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.14Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.66Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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12.55Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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11.05Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.53Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.86University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.06College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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14.13Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.66Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 21.9% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 17.0% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.8% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 17.8% | 63.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 12.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 4.9% |
| Jim Wang | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 30.3% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.