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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.90vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+3.63vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86-1.53vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.30+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.14+1.80vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-0.79vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.60-2.25vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.62+1.56vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University-0.05-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.52-3.26vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-3.04vs Predicted
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15Davidson College-2.63-0.34vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.93-2.77vs Predicted
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17College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.90vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-2.39-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.63Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.17University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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7.64Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.21Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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12.56Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.52Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.96Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.66Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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16.1College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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14.25Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 22.2% | 22.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jim Wang | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 30.6% | 17.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 5.4% |
| James Nave | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 18.7% | 62.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.