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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.24+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+1.48vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.14+4.81vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.71vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.60-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52+1.74vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-1.50vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-2.51vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.62+1.63vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-1.01vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University-0.05-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.93-1.68vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.39-1.90vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-2.63-2.38vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.29University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.5Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.49Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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12.63Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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10.99Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.67Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.1Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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14.62Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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16.14College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 21.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 24.8% | 11.1% |
| Jim Wang | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 27.8% | 17.1% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 17.1% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.