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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+2.40vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University-0.05+6.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+3.69vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24+1.05vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.14+3.01vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08-1.61vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+2.86vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-4.72vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.51-5.76vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.37-3.59vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.52-2.21vs Predicted
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14Davidson College-2.63+0.56vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.62-2.30vs Predicted
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16College of Coastal Georgia-3.72+0.06vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.39-2.80vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.93-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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8.55Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.69Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.05Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.49Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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9.01University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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10.86Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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4.24Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.41Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.56Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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12.7Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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16.06College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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14.2Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 24.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Efe Guder | 13.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jim Wang | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 30.0% | 17.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 63.0% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 24.3% | 11.3% |
| Rain Hong | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.