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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.14vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.09+3.96vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.73+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.17+1.62vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.02+0.13vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.57+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.69-0.03vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.03+0.09vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.36-3.02vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.07-4.94vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.63-1.41vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.64-2.35vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.43vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-3.81-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Michigan Technological University0.9726.5%1st Place
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5.96Ohio State University0.098.3%1st Place
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7.41Western Michigan University-0.735.3%1st Place
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5.62University of Michigan-0.179.5%1st Place
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5.13Michigan State University0.0212.0%1st Place
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6.84Northern Michigan University-0.575.6%1st Place
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6.97University of Notre Dame-0.695.1%1st Place
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8.09Purdue University-1.034.0%1st Place
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5.98Grand Valley State University-0.367.3%1st Place
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5.06Indiana University0.0711.8%1st Place
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9.59Hope College-1.632.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Michigan-1.641.6%1st Place
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12.57Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
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12.99Unknown School-3.810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.5% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zander West | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Max McCumber | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 40.2% | 37.0% |
| John Woodward | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 27.4% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.