Race 2B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Liana Folger 12.3% 12.2% 10.6% 12.8% 13.0% 10.5% 10.0% 9.7% 5.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Christopher Stessing 19.8% 18.7% 16.4% 13.0% 10.2% 8.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 16.2% 14.0% 15.4% 12.4% 11.2% 11.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 11.7% 16.2% 14.2% 12.5% 11.4% 10.8% 9.0% 6.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Lance Fraser 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 9.9% 10.3% 12.5% 9.5% 12.1% 9.4% 5.9% 3.1% 0.1%
Charles Peck 13.2% 11.4% 10.6% 13.6% 12.6% 11.7% 9.2% 8.2% 5.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor McGowan 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 9.0% 7.9% 10.4% 13.2% 12.3% 14.9% 8.3% 1.6%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 6.0% 6.4% 7.8% 8.4% 11.1% 15.7% 17.6% 12.6% 1.7%
Rudy Normann 4.1% 4.3% 6.8% 7.3% 9.3% 8.8% 10.9% 14.5% 13.7% 12.9% 6.8% 0.6%
Matthew Winter 3.7% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.6% 9.6% 9.6% 16.1% 19.9% 18.2% 2.3%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 2.4% 1.9% 3.3% 5.3% 4.7% 10.5% 15.6% 40.3% 11.9%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 8.9% 81.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.