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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+2.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.08+3.34vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+0.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-0.81vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+1.46vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.30+0.58vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.60-1.41vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.62+3.69vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52-1.17vs Predicted
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12Davidson College-2.63+2.57vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University-0.05-4.48vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida-0.14-6.11vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.93-2.76vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.39-2.76vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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5.34Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.0Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.25University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.46Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.58Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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6.59Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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12.69Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.57Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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8.52Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.0Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.89University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.24Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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16.17College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 21.9% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jim Wang | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 17.3% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Blake March | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 25.5% | 10.6% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.