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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.89+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.11+4.29vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+1.48vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+0.15vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.98+3.49vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.62+1.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.44-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.18-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43-4.54vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-2.27+1.41vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.63-1.09vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.02vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University-3.30+0.43vs Predicted
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15Davidson College-2.68-1.86vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-3.79-1.86vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-4.49-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Jacksonville University0.890.2%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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3.69Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University-0.980.0%1st Place
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8.37Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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10.91Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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10.98Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.43Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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13.14Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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15.14Florida Institute of Technology-3.790.0%1st Place
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16.05College of Coastal Georgia-4.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pappas | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 20.4% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 25.9% | 25.0% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 3.5% |
| John Beacham | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 32.2% | 24.6% |
| Keira LePage | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.