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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+3.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.89+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.43+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.55+1.33vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.98+4.44vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.62+2.67vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.11-0.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.44-2.52vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.24-5.27vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.66+1.33vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.63+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-4.77vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-2.05-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-2.27-2.05vs Predicted
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16Wake Forest University-3.30-1.13vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-2.68-3.21vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-3.79-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.36Jacksonville University0.890.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University-0.980.0%1st Place
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8.67Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.5University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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5.48Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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3.73Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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11.33Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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11.3Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.31College of Coastal Georgia-2.050.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.87Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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13.79Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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15.7Florida Institute of Technology-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Sexton | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.1% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Omar Ahmed | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 4.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 10.5% |
| John Beacham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.