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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-0.56+7.10vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.43+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.55+2.33vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.18+2.29vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.18-1.29vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.24-2.23vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.11-1.62vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.63+2.09vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.660.00vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.62-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-5.79vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-2.27-1.64vs Predicted
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15Davidson College-2.68-1.78vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-3.79-1.14vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University-3.30-2.77vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-6.07-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Jacksonville University-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.29Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University1.180.2%1st Place
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3.77Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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4.58Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.38University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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11.09Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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11.0Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.48Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Central Florida-0.180.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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13.22Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.86Florida Institute of Technology-3.790.0%1st Place
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14.23Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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16.79College of Coastal Georgia-6.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Lansford | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 19.5% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 22.6% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 13.8% | 0.3% |
| John Beacham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 45.5% | 7.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 31.4% | 26.7% | 2.5% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.