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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.85+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.18+5.24vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.56+5.28vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.18-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.43+0.47vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.66+5.12vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-3.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.11-1.65vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.55-3.57vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.63+0.93vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.18-4.61vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.62-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-2.27-0.62vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University-3.30-0.75vs Predicted
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16Davidson College-2.68-2.90vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-3.79-2.08vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-6.07-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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7.24University of Central Florida-0.180.1%1st Place
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8.28Jacksonville University-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.88Jacksonville University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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11.12Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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3.63Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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10.93Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.39Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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8.41Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.25Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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13.1Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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14.92Florida Institute of Technology-3.790.0%1st Place
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16.78College of Coastal Georgia-6.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.3% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 29.8% | 29.4% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 24.0% | 21.1% | 11.5% | 0.6% |
| John Beacham | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 45.0% | 7.7% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.