← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.11+5.27vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.85+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.18+0.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami0.43+1.68vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University-1.66+5.95vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.55-0.58vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College1.24-3.38vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.18-1.86vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Florida-0.18-1.61vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University-0.56-1.78vs Predicted
-
11Davidson College-2.68+2.20vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-2.27+0.39vs Predicted
-
13Rollins College-0.62-4.44vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University-1.63-4.02vs Predicted
-
16Florida Institute of Technology-3.79-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Wake Forest University-3.30-2.77vs Predicted
-
18College of Coastal Georgia-6.07-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.27University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.5Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
3.77Jacksonville University1.180.2%1st Place
-
5.68University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
-
10.95Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
5.42University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.62Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
-
6.14Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
-
7.39University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.22Jacksonville University-0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.2Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
-
8.56Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.98Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
-
14.87Florida Institute of Technology-3.790.0%1st Place
-
14.23Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
-
16.79College of Coastal Georgia-6.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 18.6% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.8% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 21.9% | 13.0% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Beacham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 45.3% | 7.7% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 29.7% | 26.3% | 2.7% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.