Race 7B

dick-allsop

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Dolan 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 10.1% 15.1% 21.1% 18.0% 11.2% 6.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Milo Miller 35.9% 24.3% 19.3% 11.2% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Justin 16.1% 19.4% 17.8% 17.2% 14.1% 8.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Webb 14.9% 18.6% 17.0% 16.6% 16.1% 10.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 5.9% 7.0% 9.8% 10.3% 13.0% 17.5% 15.4% 13.2% 5.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Kallista Halatsis 1.5% 1.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.4% 10.1% 15.5% 20.5% 16.5% 12.8% 6.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Sara Menesale 12.8% 13.1% 13.3% 16.9% 17.1% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 8.3% 10.9% 11.2% 13.4% 17.1% 16.7% 14.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrien Barnes 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 9.1% 12.9% 21.0% 21.1% 15.5% 4.3% 0.8%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 3.7% 6.0% 9.8% 16.9% 24.1% 21.1% 10.8% 0.6%
Charles Palmer 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 3.9% 6.1% 11.0% 17.3% 29.3% 25.2% 2.8%
John Beacham 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 3.3% 6.0% 9.8% 18.4% 50.9% 6.2%
Mary Elliot 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 1.0% 2.1% 6.3% 89.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.