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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.09+4.84vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.17+3.62vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.07+1.03vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.02+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.69+1.21vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.57-0.40vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.36-2.04vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.73-1.55vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.63-0.47vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.03-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.64-2.38vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.40vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-3.81-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Ohio State University0.098.6%1st Place
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5.62University of Michigan-0.1710.2%1st Place
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3.11Michigan Technological University0.9725.9%1st Place
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5.03Indiana University0.0711.3%1st Place
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5.21Michigan State University0.0211.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Notre Dame-0.695.3%1st Place
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6.6Northern Michigan University-0.576.9%1st Place
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5.96Grand Valley State University-0.367.4%1st Place
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7.45Western Michigan University-0.735.2%1st Place
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9.53Hope College-1.631.6%1st Place
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8.12Purdue University-1.033.8%1st Place
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9.62University of Michigan-1.641.8%1st Place
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12.6Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.3%1st Place
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13.11Unknown School-3.810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 25.9% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Mathis Destouches | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Max McCumber | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 40.1% | 36.9% |
| John Woodward | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 27.0% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.