Race 8B

dick-allsop

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Webb 16.2% 15.8% 18.0% 16.9% 14.9% 9.2% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 8.2% 10.6% 12.7% 13.7% 16.5% 16.6% 11.5% 6.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Justin 16.3% 20.0% 17.6% 17.2% 13.8% 8.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 34.4% 26.8% 18.5% 11.1% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kallista Halatsis 3.1% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 7.3% 10.0% 15.5% 19.5% 16.6% 13.4% 4.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.4% 2.6% 3.7% 3.6% 5.7% 10.7% 15.6% 19.2% 17.6% 13.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Adrien Barnes 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.6% 10.6% 13.3% 18.1% 21.0% 15.6% 5.6% 0.3%
Sara Menesale 12.2% 11.8% 14.6% 17.7% 17.0% 14.4% 7.5% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 6.0% 6.6% 8.3% 10.5% 10.9% 17.7% 16.9% 14.0% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 9.6% 17.9% 22.4% 21.1% 12.4% 0.5%
John Beacham 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 2.2% 4.9% 6.4% 11.9% 21.7% 43.7% 6.7%
Charles Palmer 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 3.5% 5.3% 10.5% 14.4% 28.7% 29.4% 3.3%
Mary Elliot 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 2.6% 6.2% 89.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.