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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.29+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.26+2.81vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.70-0.17vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+1.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.77+0.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.38-1.09vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.62-1.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.89vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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4.81University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.83McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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5.21Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.45Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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5.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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7.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mason | 19.3% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Ted Richardsson | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 29.2% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 7.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 7.3% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.