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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University-0.77+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.29+1.77vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.38+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.55vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.70-2.21vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.62-1.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.59-3.71vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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4.96Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.55University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.79McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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5.34Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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7.55Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Perriera | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
| John Mason | 14.0% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Genevieve Lau | 32.8% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.