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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.70+1.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.38+3.11vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.77+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.29-1.50vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.59-0.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.94vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62-3.61vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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5.11Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.51University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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5.29Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.39Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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7.55Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Lau | 28.7% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 6.1% |
| Emilia Perriera | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 11.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| John Mason | 21.3% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| Michael Cunniff | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.