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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.70+1.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+3.31vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.62+2.46vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.77+1.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.38-0.24vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.59-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.29-5.41vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.46Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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5.55Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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4.67University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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7.51Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Lau | 29.2% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
| Michael Cunniff | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 8.9% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 11.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| John Mason | 19.3% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.