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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.35+2.72vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.59+3.72vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.77+3.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+1.42vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.70-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.29-2.21vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.62-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.07vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97-0.69vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Boston University0.350.2%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.17Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.04McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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5.77Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.93University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Caleb Burt | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 25.7% | 22.0% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 18.5% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Julian Bokulich | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 42.6% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 24.1% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.