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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.35+2.65vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.70+1.07vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.77+3.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.29-1.19vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.62-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.57vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.97-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Boston University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.07McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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6.18Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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5.77Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.95University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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8.1Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 20.5% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Genevieve Lau | 26.4% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 6.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| John Mason | 16.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Cunniff | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 22.3% | 36.9% |
| Julian Bokulich | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.