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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Mason 19.5% 16.6% 17.6% 13.8% 10.7% 10.2% 7.5% 3.7% 0.4%
Genevieve Lau 24.2% 23.6% 17.5% 14.0% 9.7% 5.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6%
Emilia Perriera 5.7% 7.3% 7.9% 9.0% 11.1% 11.2% 15.2% 20.1% 12.5%
Sage Andrews 9.6% 10.9% 11.5% 13.7% 13.2% 13.1% 11.8% 11.5% 4.7%
Caleb Burt 8.4% 12.2% 11.8% 10.7% 12.7% 11.6% 12.4% 12.2% 8.0%
Ted Richardsson 11.5% 10.2% 12.2% 13.1% 14.4% 12.5% 13.8% 8.3% 4.0%
Michael Cunniff 8.3% 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 12.3% 15.3% 13.9% 15.0% 10.2%
Jack Whitman 10.0% 10.3% 9.9% 12.2% 12.8% 13.8% 13.3% 11.7% 6.0%
Owen Peterson 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 7.0% 8.5% 16.0% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.