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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University-0.38+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.29-0.37vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.70-2.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.40-1.11vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.77-1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.86vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.62-3.55vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.88University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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2.77McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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4.89Northeastern University-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.71Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.45Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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7.57Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sage Andrews | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 5.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 5.0% |
| John Mason | 19.1% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 28.5% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Whitman | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| Caleb Burt | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 5.7% |
| Michael Cunniff | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 10.6% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.