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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.70+2.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.29+0.75vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.11-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77-0.21vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.62-2.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.11vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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3.8Boston University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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3.97Northeastern University0.110.2%1st Place
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4.69University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.79Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.53Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genevieve Lau | 25.6% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 13.3% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| John Mason | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 16.0% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Emilia Perriera | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 27.3% | 26.5% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.