Race 4B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julia Paxton 13.2% 11.6% 14.8% 12.2% 14.1% 12.6% 7.0% 7.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Lance Fraser 6.9% 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 11.3% 10.2% 13.6% 11.9% 9.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Rudy Normann 5.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 8.4% 7.9% 10.3% 13.6% 15.9% 13.8% 8.0% 0.4%
Connor McGowan 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.5% 9.2% 12.4% 11.9% 15.2% 12.4% 8.9% 0.7%
Liana Folger 11.3% 13.2% 13.2% 12.6% 11.3% 10.7% 10.1% 9.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.7% 3.2% 4.4% 7.4% 4.7% 7.0% 10.1% 11.6% 15.3% 19.4% 11.9% 1.3%
Christopher Stessing 20.8% 18.2% 15.0% 13.3% 11.5% 9.0% 6.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 13.7% 13.4% 11.2% 12.6% 11.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 5.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Duncan Howes 15.9% 17.0% 15.5% 13.1% 10.7% 11.3% 8.0% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 7.5% 7.3% 10.8% 14.4% 19.6% 18.4% 2.6%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 2.5% 4.2% 4.4% 5.9% 9.8% 16.4% 38.7% 12.4%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 9.0% 81.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.