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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.11vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.09+3.85vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.07+1.96vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.02+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.17+0.74vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.03+2.10vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.76+0.21vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.57-1.12vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.73-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.69-2.94vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+1.88vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.63-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.64-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-3.00-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Michigan Technological University0.9726.2%1st Place
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5.85Ohio State University0.098.6%1st Place
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4.96Indiana University0.0712.4%1st Place
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5.19Michigan State University0.0210.7%1st Place
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5.74University of Michigan-0.178.2%1st Place
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8.1Purdue University-1.034.0%1st Place
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7.21Grand Valley State University-0.765.1%1st Place
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6.88Northern Michigan University-0.577.1%1st Place
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7.42Western Michigan University-0.735.5%1st Place
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7.06University of Notre Dame-0.696.0%1st Place
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12.88Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.5%1st Place
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9.72Hope College-1.632.3%1st Place
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9.69University of Michigan-1.642.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Iowa-3.001.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.2% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zander West | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Julia Janssen | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 64.3% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 6.2% |
| Max McCumber | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Warren | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 30.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.