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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.29+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.26+2.95vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.11+1.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.35-0.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77-0.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.10vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.62-2.45vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.70-5.96vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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4.95University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.1Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston University0.350.2%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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5.55Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.04McGill University0.700.3%1st Place
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7.55Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mason | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Buck Rathbun | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emilia Perriera | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| Michael Cunniff | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 26.0% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Owen Peterson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.