Race 11A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Mason 15.1% 14.8% 13.4% 12.8% 11.5% 12.4% 9.4% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1%
Genevieve Lau 21.1% 18.4% 15.2% 15.6% 12.2% 7.8% 4.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Ted Richardsson 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 8.8% 11.2% 14.7% 15.1% 12.6% 9.6% 3.3%
Isabella Cho 10.8% 12.4% 13.4% 11.3% 13.7% 14.8% 9.2% 9.0% 4.1% 1.3%
Ellie Menezes 16.0% 15.7% 15.7% 14.8% 14.3% 8.6% 6.6% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8%
Buck Rathbun 16.2% 14.8% 14.1% 13.4% 11.7% 11.4% 8.4% 6.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Emilia Perriera 3.5% 4.9% 6.3% 7.7% 8.4% 10.1% 14.6% 17.2% 17.6% 9.7%
Michael Cunniff 5.3% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 10.2% 14.6% 16.5% 15.6% 6.8%
Owen Peterson 1.9% 1.0% 2.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.8% 7.0% 10.1% 19.4% 47.8%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.2% 10.2% 13.2% 24.2% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.