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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.12+3.28vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.19+2.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.41-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.80-2.21vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.66+0.73vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.52Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.08Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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4.18University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Rhode Island0.800.3%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Matthews | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Max Boni | 5.9% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Max Teo | 43.0% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 8.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 25.2% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 22.3% | 26.1% | 16.6% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 30.8% | 27.6% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 22.8% | 51.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 9.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.