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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.41+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80-0.18vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.12+0.14vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+2.16vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.19-1.64vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.66-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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4.42University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.82University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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4.14Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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7.16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.36Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.86Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 41.3% | 29.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 24.2% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 28.6% | 27.3% |
| Max Boni | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 28.8% | 17.1% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 22.1% | 50.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.