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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.19+3.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.41+0.17vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.12+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.77vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-0.70vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.66-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.17Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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4.28Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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4.2University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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6.78Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Boni | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Max Teo | 38.9% | 29.1% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 24.0% | 24.9% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 9.1% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 31.2% | 27.7% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 25.3% | 25.2% | 17.1% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.