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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.12+3.26vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.19+2.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.41-0.92vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.80-2.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.66+0.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-3.75vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.53Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.08Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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7.18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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2.77University of Rhode Island0.800.3%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.25University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Matthews | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Boni | 5.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Max Teo | 41.3% | 29.3% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 28.8% | 26.5% |
| Pierson Falk | 25.3% | 25.9% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 24.0% | 26.2% | 17.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% |
| Sean Lund | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 23.3% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.