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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.41+1.09vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.12+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80-0.15vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+3.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.19-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.77vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.68vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.66-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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4.42Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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7.18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.28Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.76Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 41.8% | 29.2% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Pierson Falk | 23.7% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| Max Boni | 8.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Sean Lund | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.2% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 26.1% | 17.7% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 23.9% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.