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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.41+1.15vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-1.66+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80-1.17vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.12-0.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-0.63vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23-3.18vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.14vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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7.02Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.44University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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4.25Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.82Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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7.27Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 41.3% | 26.3% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 23.7% | 27.7% | 19.9% |
| Sean Lund | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Pierson Falk | 22.0% | 25.2% | 23.1% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 2.7% |
| Grant Smith | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 23.4% | 49.9% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 20.0% | 30.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.