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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.19vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.09+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.17+2.61vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.02+1.15vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.07-0.03vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.73+1.43vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.76+0.26vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.03+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.69-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.64-0.25vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.37+1.93vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.63-2.32vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-0.57-6.17vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-3.00-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Michigan Technological University0.9725.2%1st Place
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5.83Ohio State University0.099.7%1st Place
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5.61University of Michigan-0.178.3%1st Place
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5.15Michigan State University0.0211.4%1st Place
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4.97Indiana University0.0712.4%1st Place
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7.43Western Michigan University-0.734.3%1st Place
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7.26Grand Valley State University-0.765.9%1st Place
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8.17Purdue University-1.034.2%1st Place
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7.14University of Notre Dame-0.695.9%1st Place
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9.75University of Michigan-1.642.6%1st Place
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12.93Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.7%1st Place
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9.68Hope College-1.632.1%1st Place
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6.83Northern Michigan University-0.576.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Iowa-3.001.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 25.2% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John McCalmont | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Max McCumber | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 6.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 13.5% | 66.8% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 5.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Warren | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 29.2% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.