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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.80+1.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.41+0.23vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.23+0.82vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.71vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+0.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.60vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.66-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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2.23Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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3.82Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.34Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.78Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierson Falk | 23.6% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 38.6% | 27.1% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 30.1% | 25.8% |
| Sean Lund | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 23.4% | 52.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 23.9% | 27.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.