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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.41+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.80+1.04vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01+4.32vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.12+0.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.23-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.08vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.66-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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7.32Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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4.31Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.38University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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6.8Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 40.8% | 27.3% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 18.8% | 24.7% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 33.3% | 27.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kevin McNeill | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Sean Lund | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Grant Smith | 12.4% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 52.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 26.4% | 26.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.