← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island0.80+1.94vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.41+0.17vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+5.55vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.64vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.23-1.13vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.51vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-0.12-2.49vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-1.66-1.84vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-2.06-2.12vs Predicted
-
11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.94University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
-
2.17Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
-
8.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
-
5.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.87Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
-
4.49University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.51Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.16Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
7.88Wesleyan University-2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.79Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierson Falk | 24.1% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 39.6% | 26.8% | 18.8% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 43.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Grant Smith | 12.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 10.8% |
| Asher Moss | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 23.3% |
| Henry Donahue | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 23.7% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.