Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ian Hopkins Guerra 17.6% 17.3% 15.3% 11.9% 9.6% 8.4% 6.4% 4.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 8.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.0% 9.3% 8.3% 6.5% 5.6% 4.5% 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Harrison Strom 20.8% 15.5% 16.9% 12.2% 10.4% 7.6% 6.0% 4.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kiana Beachy 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.1% 8.7% 7.7% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 7.6% 6.5% 3.0%
Gus Macaulay 10.8% 9.6% 8.2% 10.2% 9.4% 9.5% 10.1% 9.5% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 3.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Sam Harris 1.5% 3.5% 3.1% 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 5.6% 4.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.9% 10.5% 11.8% 14.7% 9.7%
Ava Hurwitz 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 3.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 11.2% 9.1% 5.9%
Aidan Boni 4.4% 5.0% 4.7% 6.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 8.3% 10.0% 8.9% 9.0% 7.8% 6.8% 2.9%
Kevin Brooksbank 2.8% 2.6% 4.3% 3.3% 5.2% 6.4% 6.9% 6.7% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 11.7% 4.0%
Calvin Lamosse 6.5% 5.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 8.9% 9.8% 8.4% 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 4.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Henri Richardsson 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 7.4% 5.7% 6.6% 8.0% 8.4% 8.7% 9.1% 10.3% 7.1% 5.2%
Andrew Tollefson 2.3% 2.2% 1.5% 2.3% 5.1% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 5.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 12.1% 15.3% 10.4%
Will Cornell 2.8% 3.8% 4.1% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 4.4% 5.8% 6.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.9% 10.3% 10.0% 5.7%
Benjamin Reeser 8.8% 10.0% 8.0% 11.9% 9.3% 8.7% 9.4% 8.9% 6.4% 6.9% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Anna Kovacs 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.1% 5.7% 8.3% 13.2% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.