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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+2.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+2.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.69+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32+2.06vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.65-0.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.60+2.26vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.84vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.88-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.35+0.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.90-2.59vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-2.41vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.34-2.61vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.80-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.66-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.07Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.84Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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10.21University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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10.39The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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13.05Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 20.1% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 9.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Sam Harris | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 9.9% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 52.5% |
| Will Cornell | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.