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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+2.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.60+7.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+2.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.69+0.82vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34+4.15vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65-1.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.23vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.88-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.35-0.96vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.90-3.52vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.80+0.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.20-3.54vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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4.06Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.15The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.91Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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10.04University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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13.08Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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8.67Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 20.9% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 19.4% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Gus Macaulay | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Sam Harris | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 52.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.