Race 6B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julia Paxton 13.9% 11.5% 12.6% 13.5% 13.2% 11.2% 9.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 19.0% 19.4% 16.2% 14.3% 8.9% 9.7% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 13.4% 11.0% 13.0% 11.0% 12.5% 10.6% 10.7% 10.0% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 14.6% 16.6% 15.3% 11.6% 13.6% 8.9% 8.6% 5.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Liana Folger 12.5% 13.2% 11.3% 13.4% 11.8% 11.4% 9.3% 7.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Connor McGowan 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 5.9% 7.4% 8.3% 11.4% 14.3% 13.5% 15.4% 7.7% 0.7%
Rudy Normann 4.8% 5.9% 5.7% 7.4% 7.9% 8.5% 9.5% 14.0% 14.1% 13.0% 8.0% 1.2%
Matthew Winter 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 15.0% 20.7% 18.3% 2.7%
Lance Fraser 7.7% 8.3% 10.7% 11.0% 10.6% 12.8% 12.8% 10.6% 8.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 4.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 9.7% 12.2% 16.4% 16.5% 12.6% 1.5%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 6.4% 9.3% 16.1% 40.2% 12.0%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.1% 2.1% 3.2% 8.9% 81.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.