← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.02+3.13vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.09+2.94vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-0.17+1.79vs Predicted
-
5Indiana University0.07-0.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-0.69+1.03vs Predicted
-
7Northern Michigan University-0.57-0.11vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-1.03+0.04vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-0.73-1.61vs Predicted
-
10Grand Valley State University-0.36-3.93vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-1.63-1.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.64-2.48vs Predicted
-
13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.44vs Predicted
-
14Unknown School-3.81-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17Michigan Technological University0.9725.5%1st Place
-
5.13Michigan State University0.0210.9%1st Place
-
5.94Ohio State University0.099.3%1st Place
-
5.79University of Michigan-0.178.9%1st Place
-
4.93Indiana University0.0712.7%1st Place
-
7.03University of Notre Dame-0.695.1%1st Place
-
6.89Northern Michigan University-0.575.6%1st Place
-
8.04Purdue University-1.032.8%1st Place
-
7.39Western Michigan University-0.735.5%1st Place
-
6.07Grand Valley State University-0.367.4%1st Place
-
9.49Hope College-1.632.4%1st Place
-
9.52University of Michigan-1.642.7%1st Place
-
12.56Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.8%1st Place
-
13.05Unknown School-3.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 25.5% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Janssen | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Max McCumber | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 11.7% | 2.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 41.3% | 35.8% |
| John Woodward | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 25.4% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.