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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.37+2.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.90+6.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+2.94vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88+3.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.60+3.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.35+2.19vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-3.98vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.34-0.81vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.80+1.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.66-3.59vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-4.70vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-8.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Harvard University2.370.2%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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4.2Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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10.19University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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8.79Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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10.19The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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13.26Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 21.0% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 10.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 17.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 9.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 54.7% |
| Will Cornell | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.