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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.15+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05+4.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67-0.45vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.71+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.28+2.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.02+2.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68-0.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.10-2.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.45-1.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-0.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.67-4.33vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-3.24vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.68-2.63vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-2.47-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Harvard University2.150.2%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
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2.55Boston College2.670.3%1st Place
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7.1Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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8.76University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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9.76Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.37The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.26Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Danielson | 22.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 34.7% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Will Eggena | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Marco Welch | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% |
| Henry Parker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 28.8% | 9.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.