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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.17+3.66vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.83vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.07+1.07vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.73+2.55vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.02-0.85vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.57-0.28vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.36-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.69-1.86vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.63-0.54vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.03-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.64-2.35vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.40vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-3.81-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Michigan Technological University0.9726.2%1st Place
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5.66University of Michigan-0.178.6%1st Place
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5.83Ohio State University0.098.7%1st Place
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5.07Indiana University0.0711.3%1st Place
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7.55Western Michigan University-0.734.7%1st Place
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5.15Michigan State University0.0211.2%1st Place
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6.72Northern Michigan University-0.576.5%1st Place
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5.95Grand Valley State University-0.368.8%1st Place
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7.14University of Notre Dame-0.695.2%1st Place
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9.46Hope College-1.632.2%1st Place
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7.99Purdue University-1.034.2%1st Place
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9.65University of Michigan-1.641.9%1st Place
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12.6Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.3%1st Place
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13.1Unknown School-3.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.2% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zander West | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Janssen | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Natalia Luna | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Max McCumber | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 39.2% | 36.9% |
| John Woodward | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 26.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.