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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+2.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.70-1.21vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.82+0.31vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.80-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-1.15-1.10vs Predicted
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8American University-1.20-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.37North Carolina State University0.980.3%1st Place
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4.87University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Virginia0.700.2%1st Place
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5.31William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.27Penn State University-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.84American University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 14.5% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 35.0% | 27.1% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Montague | 24.7% | 24.5% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Finian Knight | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 15.0% |
| Justin Marquez | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 29.2% |
| James Cottage | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.