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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.98+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.70+0.77vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+0.74vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.82+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-1.15+0.88vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.80-0.79vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34North Carolina State University0.980.3%1st Place
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2.77University of Virginia0.700.2%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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5.31William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Virginia-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.21Penn State University-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.98American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 34.9% | 28.2% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Montague | 24.8% | 26.6% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 14.2% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Finian Knight | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Henry Myrick | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Justin Marquez | 6.1% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| James Cottage | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 31.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.